2018 MDL to HNL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.4553 HNL

YEARLY LOW

1.3317 HNL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.4232 HNL

2018 MDL to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 9, valuing the pair at 1.4553. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 5, dropping to 1.3317.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1236 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3943 to the December average rate of 1.4129, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.34% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.4553 was up 4.90% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.3873, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,276 HNL

2017 Average 6,380 HNL

Yearly Trough Low 6,658 HNL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 617.89 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.4486

1.3894

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4201, compared to 1.4262 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0061 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4201

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4262

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.1103 HNL (High: 1.4420 / Low: 1.3317). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0196 HNL (High: 1.4280 / Low: 1.4084).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1103

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0196

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0154 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0154

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 1.4436) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.3066), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1371 (+10.49%).

2018 Avg (August) 1.4436

2017 Avg (August) 1.3066

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.4185	1.3785	1.3943
February	1.4290	1.4016	1.4154
March	1.4373	1.4133	1.4261
April	1.4488	1.4272	1.4390
May	1.4390	1.4058	1.4254
June	1.4323	1.4087	1.4205
July	1.4493	1.4182	1.4352
August	1.4553	1.4298	1.4436
September	1.4442	1.4238	1.4311
October	1.4265	1.3984	1.4157
November	1.4280	1.4084	1.4187
December	1.4420	1.3317	1.4129