2015 MDL to PHP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.8731 PHP

YEARLY LOW

2.3093 PHP

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.4307 PHP

2015 MDL to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MDL to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 2.8731. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 7, dropping to 2.3093.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5638 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.6844 to the December average rate of 2.3938, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 2.8731 was down 16.67% compared to the 2014 peak of 3.4477, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,365 PHP

2014 Average 15,874 PHP

Yearly Trough Low 11,546 PHP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,819.01 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

2.7199

2.2944

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.4810, compared to 2.3803 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.4810

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3803

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.4198 PHP (High: 2.8731 / Low: 2.4532). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0350 PHP (High: 2.3443 / Low: 2.3093).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4198

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0350

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3029 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3029

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 2.6844) against the same month in 2014 (average: 3.4120), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7276 (-21.32%).

2015 Avg (January) 2.6844

2014 Avg (January) 3.4120

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.8731	2.4532	2.6844
February	2.4528	2.3332	2.3815
March	2.4860	2.3901	2.4229
April	2.5445	2.3900	2.4678
May	2.5259	2.4613	2.4916
June	2.5048	2.3566	2.4378
July	2.4384	2.3664	2.3907
August	2.4588	2.3987	2.4355
September	2.4372	2.3134	2.3749
October	2.3443	2.3093	2.3298
November	2.3775	2.3353	2.3573
December	2.4223	2.3681	2.3938