2016 MDL to PHP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.5057 PHP

YEARLY LOW

2.3029 PHP

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.3882 PHP

2016 MDL to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 2.5057. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 2.3029.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2028 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.3380 to the December average rate of 2.4740, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.5057 was down 12.79% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.8731, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,529 PHP

2015 Average 12,156 PHP

Yearly Trough Low 11,514 PHP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,014.23 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.4876

2.3244

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.3570, compared to 2.4193 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0624 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.3570

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.4193

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was September, with a trading range of 0.0938 PHP (High: 2.4542 / Low: 2.3605). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0305 PHP (High: 2.3721 / Low: 2.3416).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0938

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0305

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0154 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0154

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 2.4740) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.3938), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0802 (+3.35%).

2016 Avg (December) 2.4740

2015 Avg (December) 2.3938

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.3791	2.3029	2.3380
February	2.3877	2.3479	2.3721
March	2.3721	2.3416	2.3572
April	2.3813	2.3422	2.3599
May	2.3991	2.3324	2.3645
June	2.3937	2.3282	2.3501
July	2.3947	2.3559	2.3796
August	2.3862	2.3448	2.3642
September	2.4542	2.3605	2.4086
October	2.4596	2.4040	2.4348
November	2.4728	2.4172	2.4549
December	2.5057	2.4557	2.4740