YEARLY HIGH
3.1196 PHP
YEARLY LOW
2.8240 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.9556 PHP

2019 MDL to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MDL to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 14, valuing the pair at 3.1196. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 20, dropping to 2.8240.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2956 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.0627 to the December average rate of 2.9410, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.97% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.1196 was down 3.63% compared to the 2018 peak of 3.2371, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,598 PHP
2018 Average 15,673 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 14,120 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,478.04 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.0838
2.8307
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.9803, compared to 2.9310 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0492 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.9803
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.9310

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.1657 PHP (High: 3.0422 / Low: 2.8765). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0540 PHP (High: 2.9636 / Low: 2.9096).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1657
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0540

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1136 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1136

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 3.0575) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3.1451), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0877 (-2.79%).

2019 Avg (March) 3.0575
2018 Avg (March) 3.1451

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.0949 3.0286 3.0627
February 3.0794 3.0226 3.0542
March 3.1196 3.0249 3.0575
April 3.0312 2.8894 2.9438
May 2.9469 2.8550 2.9116
June 2.8858 2.8240 2.8518
July 2.9259 2.8363 2.8885
August 3.0422 2.8765 2.9581
September 2.9779 2.8891 2.9394
October 2.9666 2.9060 2.9467
November 2.9441 2.8854 2.9124
December 2.9636 2.9096 2.9410