YEARLY HIGH
3.2371 PHP
YEARLY LOW
2.9048 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.1346 PHP

2018 MDL to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 13, valuing the pair at 3.2371. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 2.9048.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3323 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9813 to the December average rate of 3.0741, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.11% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.2371 was up 7.30% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.0168, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,186 PHP
2017 Average 13,701 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 14,524 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,661.56 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.2335
2.9584
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.1134, compared to 3.1558 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0424 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.1134
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.1558

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.1781 PHP (High: 3.0830 / Low: 2.9048). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0429 PHP (High: 3.2317 / Low: 3.1888).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1781
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0429

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0863 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0863

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 3.2024) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.8520), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3504 (+12.28%).

2018 Avg (August) 3.2024
2017 Avg (August) 2.8520

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.0830 2.9048 2.9813
February 3.1629 3.0538 3.1112
March 3.1821 3.1098 3.1451
April 3.1801 3.1148 3.1631
May 3.1797 3.0941 3.1330
June 3.1856 3.0958 3.1467
July 3.2243 3.1628 3.1937
August 3.2371 3.1780 3.2024
September 3.2317 3.1888 3.2106
October 3.2116 3.1099 3.1703
November 3.1233 3.0445 3.0840
December 3.1109 3.0505 3.0741