2014 MGA to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6898 BIF

YEARLY LOW

0.5696 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6300 BIF

2014 MGA to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MGA to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.6898. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 6, dropping to 0.5696.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1202 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6833 to the December average rate of 0.6021, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.6898 was down 4.80% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.7246, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,449 BIF

2013 Average 3,501 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 2,848 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 601.16 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.6940

0.5658

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6606, compared to 0.5995 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0611 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6606

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5995

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.0327 BIF (High: 0.6161 / Low: 0.5834). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0115 BIF (High: 0.6681 / Low: 0.6566).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0327

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0115

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0187 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0187

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 0.6833) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.6784), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0050 (+0.73%).

2014 Avg (January) 0.6833

2013 Avg (January) 0.6784

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6898	0.6739	0.6833
February	0.6744	0.6600	0.6676
March	0.6681	0.6566	0.6616
April	0.6651	0.6504	0.6568
May	0.6579	0.6433	0.6511
June	0.6574	0.6327	0.6432
July	0.6386	0.6195	0.6304
August	0.6253	0.6028	0.6145
September	0.6115	0.5831	0.5958
October	0.5842	0.5696	0.5778
November	0.5851	0.5725	0.5765
December	0.6161	0.5834	0.6021