2011 MMK to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

204.4049 BIF

YEARLY LOW

173.1686 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

186.3926 BIF

2011 MMK to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MMK to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 13, valuing the pair at 204.4049. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 173.1686.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 31.2363 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 174.3336 to the December average rate of 198.9313, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.11% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 204.4049 was up 14.64% compared to the 2010 peak of 178.3078, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,022,024 BIF

2010 Average 872,826 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 865,843 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 156,181.28 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

201.3911

171.8739

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 181.1514, compared to 191.6339 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 10.4825 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 181.1514

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 191.6339

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 14.9655 BIF (High: 189.2425 / Low: 174.2770). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0992 BIF (High: 175.0260 / Low: 173.9268).

April Spread (Volatile) ±14.9655

February Spread (Stable) ±1.0992

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.3393 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3393

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 198.9313) against the same month in 2010 (average: 174.2350), the exchange rate shifted by +24.6963 (+14.17%).

2011 Avg (December) 198.9313

2010 Avg (December) 174.2350

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	175.0662	173.1686	174.3336
February	175.0260	173.9268	174.7009
March	175.5236	173.4487	174.5985
April	189.2425	174.2770	186.7299
May	188.9892	187.3056	188.1906
June	189.3876	187.2804	188.3546
July	191.6469	187.8823	189.0495
August	191.5524	188.1826	189.9082
September	192.0582	188.1672	190.5631
October	192.2645	188.4063	190.2238
November	195.3363	189.2561	191.1273
December	204.4049	189.6707	198.9313