YEARLY HIGH
1.3414 BIF
YEARLY LOW
1.0888 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.2388 BIF

2018 MMK to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MMK to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 13, valuing the pair at 1.3414. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 23, dropping to 1.0888.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2526 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3107 to the December average rate of 1.1540, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.3414 was up 2.63% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.3070, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,707 BIF
2017 Average 6,328 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 5,444 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,263.02 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.3497
1.1060
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3149, compared to 1.1627 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1522 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3149
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1627

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.0778 BIF (High: 1.1666 / Low: 1.0888). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0175 BIF (High: 1.3318 / Low: 1.3143).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0778
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0175

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0545 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0545

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 1.3294) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.2479), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0814 (+6.52%).

2018 Avg (April) 1.3294
2017 Avg (April) 1.2479

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3293 1.2979 1.3107
February 1.3342 1.3122 1.3241
March 1.3318 1.3143 1.3210
April 1.3414 1.3108 1.3294
May 1.3325 1.2985 1.3119
June 1.3164 1.2467 1.2922
July 1.2640 1.2122 1.2394
August 1.2176 1.1439 1.1849
September 1.1666 1.0888 1.1326
October 1.1684 1.1145 1.1390
November 1.1436 1.1122 1.1263
December 1.1753 1.1278 1.1540