2016 MOP to NGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

43.5986 NGN

YEARLY LOW

24.7071 NGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

32.1964 NGN

2016 MOP to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 22, valuing the pair at 43.5986. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 24.7071.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 18.8915 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 24.8363 to the December average rate of 39.3887, the exchange rate registered a net change of 58.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 43.5986 was up 69.83% compared to the 2015 peak of 25.6717, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 217,993 NGN

2015 Average 123,918 NGN

Yearly Trough Low 123,535 NGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 94,457.52 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

41.9055

23.2708

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 25.4006, compared to 38.9923 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 13.5917 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 25.4006

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 38.9923

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 10.5400 NGN (High: 35.3736 / Low: 24.8336). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0478 NGN (High: 24.9184 / Low: 24.8706).

June Spread (Volatile) ±10.5400

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0478

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.1844 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1844

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 40.3526) against the same month in 2015 (average: 24.9320), the exchange rate shifted by +15.4206 (+61.85%).

2016 Avg (August) 40.3526

2015 Avg (August) 24.9320

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	24.9351	24.7071	24.8363
February	24.8756	24.7491	24.8237
March	24.9610	24.8447	24.9030
April	24.9424	24.8843	24.9169
May	24.9184	24.8706	24.8930
June	35.3736	24.8336	28.0305
July	40.0469	35.2874	36.6124
August	43.5986	39.0462	40.3526
September	39.4045	38.9432	39.1682
October	39.5101	38.6358	39.1744
November	39.5161	38.9337	39.2576
December	39.7268	38.1550	39.3887