YEARLY HIGH
180.2892 NGN
YEARLY LOW
166.3462 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
170.5035 NGN

2026 MOP to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 180.2892. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 16, dropping to 166.3462.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.9430 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 176.8514 to the December average rate of 169.3942, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 180.2892 was down 14.60% compared to the 2025 peak of 211.1140, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 901,446 NGN
2025 Average 948,199 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 831,731 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 69,714.76 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

177.6638
167.9156
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 170.7667, compared to 169.7140 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0527 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 170.7667
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 169.7140

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 7.9012 NGN (High: 180.2892 / Low: 172.3880). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 NGN (High: 169.3942 / Low: 169.3942).

January Spread (Volatile) ±7.9012
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 8.1235 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -8.1235

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 176.8514) against the same month in 2025 (average: 193.5386), the exchange rate shifted by -16.6871 (-8.62%).

2026 Avg (January) 176.8514
2025 Avg (January) 193.5386

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 180.2892 172.3880 176.8514
February 173.0401 166.4913 168.7279
March 173.6744 167.6607 170.9566
April 171.3022 166.3462 168.7656
May 170.4877 169.9638 170.1481
June 170.9890 168.2072 169.1504
July 171.0534 168.1919 170.0339
August 169.3942 169.3942 169.3942