YEARLY HIGH
51.6722 NGN
YEARLY LOW
47.4530 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
50.3732 NGN

2021 MOP to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MOP to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 30, valuing the pair at 51.6722. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 27, dropping to 47.4530.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.2192 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 48.5440 to the December average rate of 51.1844, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.44% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 51.6722 was up 4.53% compared to the 2020 peak of 49.4317, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 258,361 NGN
2020 Average 238,035 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 237,265 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 21,095.86 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

51.7400
48.2302
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 49.4506, compared to 51.2958 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.8452 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 49.4506
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 51.2958

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 4.1660 NGN (High: 51.6722 / Low: 47.5062). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2249 NGN (High: 51.4135 / Low: 51.1886).

May Spread (Volatile) ±4.1660
August Spread (Stable) ±0.2249

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2963 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2963

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 50.5439) against the same month in 2020 (average: 48.7497), the exchange rate shifted by +1.7942 (+3.68%).

2021 Avg (May) 50.5439
2020 Avg (May) 48.7497

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 49.6903 47.6716 48.5440
February 51.5593 47.6166 48.8189
March 51.3242 47.4923 48.5227
April 51.3144 47.4530 48.8265
May 51.6722 47.5062 50.5439
June 51.6548 51.2606 51.4475
July 51.5245 51.2588 51.3952
August 51.4135 51.1886 51.3322
September 51.4491 51.2178 51.3543
October 51.5007 51.2107 51.2999
November 51.4467 51.0241 51.2087
December 51.4902 50.9537 51.1844