2018 MOP to NGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

45.5454 NGN

YEARLY LOW

44.4357 NGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

44.7590 NGN

2018 MOP to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 45.5454. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 4, dropping to 44.4357.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1097 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 44.7245 to the December average rate of 45.1714, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.00% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 45.5454 was down 0.62% compared to the 2017 peak of 45.8276, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 227,727 NGN

2017 Average 207,921 NGN

Yearly Trough Low 222,178 NGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,548.35 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

45.2369

44.4510

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 44.6156, compared to 44.9025 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2869 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 44.6156

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 44.9025

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.8407 NGN (High: 45.5454 / Low: 44.7047). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1445 NGN (High: 44.8117 / Low: 44.6672).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.8407

February Spread (Stable) ±0.1445

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1344 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1344

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 45.0945) against the same month in 2017 (average: 44.7364), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3580 (+0.80%).

2018 Avg (November) 45.0945

2017 Avg (November) 44.7364

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	44.9616	44.5261	44.7245
February	44.8117	44.6672	44.7356
March	44.7231	44.5151	44.6012
April	44.5935	44.4357	44.5165
May	44.6670	44.4568	44.5493
June	44.6686	44.4933	44.5665
July	44.7822	44.4420	44.6170
August	44.8108	44.5098	44.6701
September	45.2031	44.4547	44.8459
October	45.1912	44.9102	45.0160
November	45.5454	44.7047	45.0945
December	45.3077	45.0316	45.1714