YEARLY HIGH
8.5771 RUB
YEARLY LOW
4.1156 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8251 RUB

2014 MOP to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MOP to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 8.5771. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 4.1156.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.4614 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2175 to the December average rate of 7.0410, the exchange rate registered a net change of 66.95% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 8.5771 was up 104.91% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.1858, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,885 RUB
2013 Average 19,942 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 20,578 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 22,307.09 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

7.3233
3.9352
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3826, compared to 5.2676 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8850 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3826
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.2676

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 2.1906 RUB (High: 8.5771 / Low: 6.3864). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1343 RUB (High: 4.5315 / Low: 4.3973).

December Spread (Volatile) ±2.1906
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1343

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0955 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0955

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 7.0410) against the same month in 2013 (average: 4.1139), the exchange rate shifted by +2.9270 (+71.15%).

2014 Avg (December) 7.0410
2013 Avg (December) 4.1139

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3904 4.1156 4.2175
February 4.5095 4.3492 4.4132
March 4.5841 4.4071 4.5240
April 4.5315 4.3973 4.4651
May 4.4869 4.2777 4.3696
June 4.3935 4.2214 4.3061
July 4.4720 4.2595 4.3509
August 4.6368 4.4775 4.5304
September 4.9487 4.6047 4.7570
October 5.3851 4.9593 5.1165
November 6.2545 5.3814 5.8100
December 8.5771 6.3864 7.0410