YEARLY HIGH
8.5865 RUB
YEARLY LOW
7.7183 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.0175 RUB

2019 MOP to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 8.5865. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 7.7183.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8682 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.2610 to the December average rate of 7.8211, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 8.5865 was down 1.59% compared to the 2018 peak of 8.7248, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,932 RUB
2018 Average 38,908 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 38,592 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,340.75 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

8.3050
7.7771
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.0736, compared to 7.9614 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1122 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.0736
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.9614

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.5142 RUB (High: 8.5865 / Low: 8.0722). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1287 RUB (High: 7.9874 / Low: 7.8586).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5142
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1287

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1239 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1239

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 8.2610) against the same month in 2018 (average: 7.0366), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2244 (+17.40%).

2019 Avg (January) 8.2610
2018 Avg (January) 7.0366

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.5865 8.0722 8.2610
February 8.2448 8.0862 8.1371
March 8.2316 7.8930 8.0714
April 8.0925 7.8834 7.9897
May 8.1025 7.9503 8.0301
June 8.1584 7.7782 7.9527
July 7.9460 7.7744 7.8601
August 8.3443 7.9802 8.1620
September 8.2682 7.8954 8.0444
October 8.1084 7.8828 7.9616
November 7.9874 7.8586 7.9195
December 7.9941 7.7183 7.8211