YEARLY HIGH
10.6725 RUB
YEARLY LOW
8.7833 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.4922 RUB

2026 MOP to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 10.6725. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 28, dropping to 8.7833.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8892 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.7175 to the December average rate of 9.6059, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 10.6725 was down 24.93% compared to the 2025 peak of 14.2165, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 53,363 RUB
2025 Average 52,178 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 43,917 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,446.08 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

10.1118
8.7688
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.4733, compared to 9.6059 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1326 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.4733
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.6059

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 1.0672 RUB (High: 10.6725 / Low: 9.6054). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1899 RUB (High: 9.6193 / Low: 9.4293).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.0672
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1899

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.6647 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6647

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 9.9999) against the same month in 2025 (average: 10.7530), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7531 (-7.00%).

2026 Avg (March) 9.9999
2025 Avg (March) 10.7530

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.0982 9.3608 9.7175
February 9.6193 9.4293 9.5411
March 10.6725 9.6054 9.9999
April 9.9825 9.2513 9.5454
May 9.2893 8.7833 8.8807
June 9.7608 8.8296 9.1552
July 9.7505 9.4634 9.6059