YEARLY HIGH
12.5758 RUB
YEARLY LOW
8.2309 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.6003 RUB

2023 MOP to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MOP to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 12.5758. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 8.2309.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.3449 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.6871 to the December average rate of 11.3071, the exchange rate registered a net change of 30.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 12.5758 was down 29.17% compared to the 2022 peak of 17.7549, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 62,879 RUB
2022 Average 43,332 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 41,154 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 21,724.45 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

12.3853
8.3509
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.5694, compared to 11.6312 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.0618 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.5694
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.6312

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 1.0328 RUB (High: 11.0038 / Low: 9.9709). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3763 RUB (High: 9.6559 / Low: 9.2796).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.0328
March Spread (Stable) ±0.3763

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.7713 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7713

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2023: 12.0491) against the same month in 2022 (average: 7.6539), the exchange rate shifted by +4.3951 (+57.42%).

2023 Avg (October) 12.0491
2022 Avg (October) 7.6539

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.1805 8.2309 8.6871
February 9.4090 8.6578 9.0963
March 9.6559 9.2796 9.4575
April 10.1452 9.5951 10.0279
May 10.0789 9.4270 9.8081
June 11.0038 9.9709 10.3397
July 11.5057 10.9665 11.2662
August 12.4211 11.5067 11.8907
September 12.2050 11.7537 11.9966
October 12.5758 11.5461 12.0491
November 11.5923 10.9836 11.2778
December 11.5487 10.9334 11.3071