YEARLY HIGH
10.1228 RUB
YEARLY LOW
7.6331 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.0509 RUB

2020 MOP to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MOP to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 18, valuing the pair at 10.1228. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 7.6331.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4897 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.7283 to the December average rate of 9.2650, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 10.1228 was up 17.89% compared to the 2019 peak of 8.5865, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 50,614 RUB
2019 Average 40,085 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 38,165 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,448.46 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

9.9171
7.5293
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.7112, compared to 9.3906 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6794 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.7112
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.3906

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 1.8549 RUB (High: 10.1228 / Low: 8.2679). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3492 RUB (High: 9.4762 / Low: 9.1271).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.8549
August Spread (Stable) ±0.3492

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.4355 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4355

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 9.3322) against the same month in 2019 (average: 8.0714), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2608 (+15.62%).

2020 Avg (March) 9.3322
2019 Avg (March) 8.0714

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.9967 7.6331 7.7283
February 8.3165 7.8648 8.0157
March 10.1228 8.2679 9.3322
April 9.8544 9.1529 9.3893
May 9.5147 8.7873 9.1187
June 8.9169 8.5351 8.6833
July 9.3154 8.8302 8.9578
August 9.4762 9.1271 9.2511
September 9.9231 9.2231 9.5276
October 9.9411 9.5436 9.7182
November 10.0919 9.4508 9.6240
December 9.5151 9.1486 9.2650