2014 BTN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

44.7559 UGX

YEARLY LOW

39.2540 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

42.5684 UGX

2014 BTN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BTN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 29, valuing the pair at 44.7559. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 39.2540.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.5019 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 40.2912 to the December average rate of 44.0721, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 44.7559 was down 10.79% compared to the 2013 peak of 50.1691, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 223,779 UGX

2013 Average 222,022 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 196,270 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 27,509.52 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

44.7506

39.2056

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 41.5208, compared to 43.6160 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.0953 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 41.5208

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 43.6160

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was March, with a trading range of 1.9210 UGX (High: 42.6006 / Low: 40.6796). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5217 UGX (High: 43.1575 / Low: 42.6358).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.9210

August Spread (Stable) ±0.5217

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.9245 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9245

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 44.2885) against the same month in 2013 (average: 40.3003), the exchange rate shifted by +3.9883 (+9.90%).

2014 Avg (November) 44.2885

2013 Avg (November) 40.3003

मासिक विश्लेषण

प्रत्येक कॅलेंडर महिन्यासाठी सांख्यिकीय सारांश.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	40.8004	39.2540	40.2912
February	40.7969	39.4516	39.6677
March	42.6006	40.6796	41.5386
April	42.6329	41.1135	41.8749
May	43.3599	41.8513	42.6235
June	43.3903	42.6800	43.1287
July	44.4049	43.0399	43.8139
August	43.1575	42.6358	42.8893
September	43.3148	42.7138	43.0437
October	44.2260	42.8879	43.5887
November	44.7559	43.8268	44.2885
December	44.7494	43.2953	44.0721

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