YEARLY HIGH
56.8731 UGX
YEARLY LOW
43.8912 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
50.4148 UGX

2015 BTN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the BTN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 56.8731. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 43.8912.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.9819 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 45.8421 to the December average rate of 50.4960, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 56.8731 was up 27.07% compared to the 2014 peak of 44.7559, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 284,366 UGX
2014 Average 212,933 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 219,456 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 64,909.49 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

57.0046
44.8273
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 47.3670, compared to 53.4627 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 6.0957 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 47.3670
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 53.4627

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was November, with a trading range of 4.1709 UGX (High: 54.3934 / Low: 50.2225). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9265 UGX (High: 46.8774 / Low: 45.9509).

November Spread (Volatile) ┬▒4.1709
February Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.9265

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 4.1641 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.1641

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 55.9898) against the same month in 2014 (average: 43.5887), the exchange rate shifted by +12.4012 (+28.45%).

2015 Avg (October) 55.9898
2014 Avg (October) 43.5887

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 47.0610 43.8912 45.8421
February 46.8774 45.9509 46.2780
March 48.1392 46.1869 47.1568
April 48.1290 47.1951 47.7748
May 47.9014 46.7668 47.2017
June 51.9355 48.0265 49.9484
July 55.5779 51.6725 52.6589
August 55.3868 53.4525 54.4849
September 55.9986 54.9300 55.3205
October 56.8731 54.4255 55.9898
November 54.3934 50.2225 51.8257
December 51.4997 49.3224 50.4960