YEARLY HIGH
54.4435 UGX
YEARLY LOW
50.9070 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
52.6584 UGX

2019 BTN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BTN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 3, valuing the pair at 54.4435. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 3, dropping to 50.9070.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.5365 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 52.4579 to the December average rate of 51.6295, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 54.4435 was down 5.60% compared to the 2018 peak of 57.6716, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 272,217 UGX
2018 Average 272,918 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 254,535 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,682.26 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

54.2310
51.3663
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 53.1621, compared to 52.1546 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 1.0075 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 53.1621
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 52.1546

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 2.3010 UGX (High: 53.5697 / Low: 51.2687). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5348 UGX (High: 54.1138 / Low: 53.5790).

August Spread (Volatile) ┬▒2.3010
July Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.5348

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1.7220 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.7220

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2019: 53.7393) against the same month in 2018 (average: 56.6361), the exchange rate shifted by -2.8968 (-5.11%).

2019 Avg (June) 53.7393
2018 Avg (June) 56.6361

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

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Month High Low Average
January 53.6608 51.5950 52.4579
February 52.5394 51.3091 51.6569
March 54.0247 52.1566 53.3276
April 54.3091 53.2810 53.7988
May 54.3874 53.5292 53.9923
June 54.4435 52.9689 53.7393
July 54.1138 53.5790 53.7958
August 53.5697 51.2687 52.0737
September 52.2073 50.9070 51.6050
October 52.5653 51.6384 52.0767
November 52.4235 51.2898 51.7470
December 51.9217 51.3077 51.6295