YEARLY HIGH
40.9585 UGX
YEARLY LOW
38.0508 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
39.4386 UGX

2026 BTN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the BTN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 17, valuing the pair at 40.9585. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 38.0508.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.9077 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 39.3260 to the December average rate of 38.6303, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.77% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 40.9585 was down 5.39% compared to the 2025 peak of 43.2912, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 204,792 UGX
2025 Average 206,857 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 190,254 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,538.43 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

40.3826
38.4710
JanuMarcMayJuly

BTN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 39.5733, compared to 38.6303 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.9430 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 39.5733
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 38.6303

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 2.1719 UGX (High: 40.2227 / Low: 38.0508). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3108 UGX (High: 39.7000 / Low: 39.3892).

January Spread (Volatile) ┬▒2.1719
May Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.3108

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.5715 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5715

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 40.2233) against the same month in 2025 (average: 42.3763), the exchange rate shifted by -2.1530 (-5.08%).

2026 Avg (March) 40.2233
2025 Avg (March) 42.3763

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 40.2227 38.0508 39.3260
February 39.6314 38.9318 39.2966
March 40.9585 39.3035 40.2233
April 40.4001 39.2971 39.8601
May 39.7000 39.3892 39.5321
June 39.7052 38.5777 39.2019
July 39.3124 38.3106 38.6303