YEARLY HIGH
53.4462 UGX
YEARLY LOW
48.8262 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
50.8668 UGX

2016 BTN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BTN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 8, valuing the pair at 53.4462. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 27, dropping to 48.8262.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.6200 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 51.2213 to the December average rate of 53.0552, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 53.4462 was down 6.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 56.8731, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 267,231 UGX
2015 Average 252,200 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 244,131 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,099.80 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

53.3632
49.6672
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 50.3235, compared to 51.4102 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 1.0866 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 50.3235
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 51.4102

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 2.3659 UGX (High: 51.1921 / Low: 48.8262). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4060 UGX (High: 50.5077 / Low: 50.1017).

February Spread (Volatile) ┬▒2.3659
July Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.4060

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.9901 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9901

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 53.0552) against the same month in 2015 (average: 50.4960), the exchange rate shifted by +2.5592 (+5.07%).

2016 Avg (December) 53.0552
2015 Avg (December) 50.4960

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 51.8359 50.8890 51.2213
February 51.1921 48.8262 50.2313
March 50.8789 49.1879 50.2136
April 50.8807 49.7012 50.2796
May 50.2606 49.7257 49.9752
June 50.4033 49.7141 50.0201
July 50.5077 50.1017 50.2868
August 50.6213 50.1558 50.3851
September 50.9311 50.3905 50.6345
October 51.8742 50.6818 51.4154
November 52.9982 51.8417 52.6840
December 53.4462 52.3048 53.0552