YEARLY HIGH
0.1125 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.1014 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1072 BAM

2018 MVR to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MVR to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 13, valuing the pair at 0.1125. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 0.1014.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0111 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1042 to the December average rate of 0.1112, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1125 was down 8.71% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1232, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 562 BAM
2017 Average 562 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 507 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 55.29 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1121
0.1017
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1046, compared to 0.1098 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0052 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1046
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1098

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0047 BAM (High: 0.1125 / Low: 0.1078). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0017 BAM (High: 0.1121 / Low: 0.1104).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0047
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0016 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0016

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.1110) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1085), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0025 (+2.33%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.1110
2017 Avg (November) 0.1085

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1064 0.1019 0.1042
February 0.1037 0.1014 0.1026
March 0.1038 0.1019 0.1027
April 0.1047 0.1025 0.1032
May 0.1092 0.1049 0.1066
June 0.1100 0.1066 0.1084
July 0.1095 0.1054 0.1082
August 0.1117 0.1080 0.1097
September 0.1097 0.1060 0.1085
October 0.1118 0.1077 0.1103
November 0.1125 0.1078 0.1110
December 0.1121 0.1104 0.1112