2016 NAD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

267.7008 UGX

YEARLY LOW

205.4009 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

233.2740 UGX

2016 NAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 7, valuing the pair at 267.7008. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 205.4009.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 62.2999 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 211.8064 to the December average rate of 259.6536, the exchange rate registered a net change of 22.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 267.7008 was down 5.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 281.8784, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,338,504 UGX

2015 Average 1,269,171 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,027,004 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 311,499.40 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

264.4383

207.0217

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 219.7299, compared to 246.8182 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 27.0884 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 219.7299

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 246.8182

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 21.3865 UGX (High: 252.5945 / Low: 231.2079). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 12.2124 UGX (High: 241.8967 / Low: 229.6843).

August Spread (Volatile) ±21.3865

July Spread (Stable) ±12.2124

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 10.1000 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -10.1000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 259.6536) against the same month in 2015 (average: 223.4626), the exchange rate shifted by +36.1910 (+16.20%).

2016 Avg (December) 259.6536

2015 Avg (December) 223.4626

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	218.1492	205.4009	211.8064
February	224.9253	208.5318	217.0731
March	227.6368	212.2171	218.7956
April	233.4161	220.4423	228.7628
May	233.8573	213.1403	218.6628
June	233.4670	214.9537	223.2785
July	241.8967	229.6843	234.8016
August	252.5945	231.2079	245.1966
September	250.0295	231.0401	240.4075
October	254.8129	239.5740	246.2291
November	262.7770	246.1347	254.6210
December	267.7008	253.0640	259.6536