YEARLY HIGH
276.1558 UGX
YEARLY LOW
101.8380 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
256.3419 UGX

2019 NAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the NAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 276.1558. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 19, dropping to 101.8380.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 174.3178 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 266.8243 to the December average rate of 255.0220, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 276.1558 was down 12.97% compared to the 2018 peak of 317.3235, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,380,779 UGX
2018 Average 1,416,120 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 509,190 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 871,588.92 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

269.0836
241.9721
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 261.2859, compared to 251.3979 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 9.8880 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 261.2859
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 251.3979

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was May, with a trading range of 163.4774 UGX (High: 265.3154 / Low: 101.8380). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.3178 UGX (High: 266.2682 / Low: 259.9503).

May Spread (Volatile) ±163.4774
July Spread (Stable) ±6.3178

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 19.4093 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -19.4093

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 266.8243) against the same month in 2018 (average: 298.7464), the exchange rate shifted by -31.9220 (-10.69%).

2019 Avg (January) 266.8243
2018 Avg (January) 298.7464

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 276.1558 257.9214 266.8243
February 275.9280 259.7266 266.6217
March 266.7058 253.7709 257.9283
April 267.8498 254.6618 263.8974
May 265.3154 101.8380 256.3219
June 261.5659 250.3986 256.1219
July 266.2682 259.9503 263.6407
August 260.4302 239.2276 244.2314
September 251.2800 241.9206 247.4452
October 255.4261 240.4593 248.2259
November 252.6755 245.4354 249.8223
December 261.2935 248.6076 255.0220