YEARLY HIGH
262.6406 UGX
YEARLY LOW
219.1399 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
242.9100 UGX

2021 NAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the NAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 4, valuing the pair at 262.6406. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 28, dropping to 219.1399.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 43.5007 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 244.7829 to the December average rate of 223.5370, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 262.6406 was up 0.26% compared to the 2020 peak of 261.9592, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,313,203 UGX
2020 Average 1,133,991 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,095,699 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 217,503.64 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

259.1031
220.3038
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 249.6038, compared to 236.2163 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 13.3875 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 249.6038
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 236.2163

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 28.0015 UGX (High: 247.1414 / Low: 219.1399). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.4092 UGX (High: 228.3308 / Low: 219.9216).

November Spread (Volatile) ±28.0015
December Spread (Stable) ±8.4092

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 11.5471 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -11.5471

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2021: 255.8698) against the same month in 2020 (average: 218.3394), the exchange rate shifted by +37.5304 (+17.19%).

2021 Avg (June) 255.8698
2020 Avg (June) 218.3394

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 251.9356 238.8401 244.7829
February 252.3848 243.1098 248.9336
March 249.3981 235.4454 244.4780
April 254.3589 245.8176 250.5501
May 257.7979 245.4577 253.0085
June 262.6406 248.2083 255.8698
July 248.3747 238.5258 244.3227
August 246.8778 230.5718 240.8481
September 247.0766 234.4282 238.1342
October 249.0889 233.9151 240.5448
November 247.1414 219.1399 229.9109
December 228.3308 219.9216 223.5370