YEARLY HIGH
220.9483 UGX
YEARLY LOW
186.3037 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
201.5205 UGX

2023 NAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the NAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 220.9483. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 25, dropping to 186.3037.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 34.6446 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 216.1703 to the December average rate of 202.4266, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 220.9483 was down 10.97% compared to the 2022 peak of 248.1802, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,104,742 UGX
2022 Average 1,134,425 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 931,518 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 173,223.23 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

218.2904
192.8488
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 204.3512, compared to 198.6897 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.6615 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 204.3512
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 198.6897

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was November, with a trading range of 19.5171 UGX (High: 208.1197 / Low: 188.6026). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.8064 UGX (High: 200.7123 / Low: 193.9059).

November Spread (Volatile) ±19.5171
September Spread (Stable) ±6.8064

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 10.5826 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -10.5826

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 216.1703) against the same month in 2022 (average: 227.6765), the exchange rate shifted by -11.5062 (-5.05%).

2023 Avg (January) 216.1703
2022 Avg (January) 227.6765

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 220.9483 212.8091 216.1703
February 217.5695 201.9458 206.3115
March 210.4131 199.0830 204.4716
April 212.1932 202.2946 205.9459
May 203.8011 189.2033 195.3633
June 203.3699 190.1441 197.8447
July 207.8171 194.1563 200.7388
August 201.3443 187.4473 195.3420
September 200.7123 193.9059 197.0651
October 200.8505 186.3037 194.9690
November 208.1197 188.6026 201.5968
December 207.3452 197.6487 202.4266