2018 NAD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

317.3235 UGX

YEARLY LOW

249.9625 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

283.3896 UGX

2018 NAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the NAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 24, valuing the pair at 317.3235. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 249.9625.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 67.3610 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 298.7464 to the December average rate of 260.9697, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 317.3235 was up 7.32% compared to the 2017 peak of 295.6661, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,586,618 UGX

2017 Average 1,360,014 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,249,812 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 336,805.21 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

313.2557

255.4078

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 301.3899, compared to 265.3894 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 36.0005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 301.3899

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 265.3894

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 21.9525 UGX (High: 279.7904 / Low: 257.8379). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.8769 UGX (High: 284.5380 / Low: 272.6612).

August Spread (Volatile) ±21.9525

July Spread (Stable) ±11.8769

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 12.7199 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -12.7199

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 307.7686) against the same month in 2017 (average: 271.7144), the exchange rate shifted by +36.0541 (+13.27%).

2018 Avg (February) 307.7686

2017 Avg (February) 271.7144

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	308.2605	292.5996	298.7464
February	317.3235	299.0155	307.7686
March	314.9023	302.5576	308.4350
April	312.1268	298.0378	305.4578
May	305.2492	292.4486	297.8258
June	300.9043	280.6961	290.1058
July	284.5380	272.6612	279.1370
August	279.7904	257.8379	266.4171
September	270.9245	249.9625	260.2284
October	270.3448	255.1370	260.4931
November	272.3172	258.4046	265.0909
December	272.5314	254.1455	260.9697