YEARLY HIGH
5.3395 MDL
YEARLY LOW
5.0027 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.1137 MDL

2018 PEN to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PEN to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 5.3395. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 15, dropping to 5.0027.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3368 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.2701 to the December average rate of 5.1045, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.3395 was down 13.42% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.1674, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,697 MDL
2017 Average 28,283 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 25,014 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,683.88 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.2917
5.0336
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.1414, compared to 5.0860 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0554 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.1414
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.0860

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.1629 MDL (High: 5.1794 / Low: 5.0164). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0613 MDL (High: 5.1202 / Low: 5.0589).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1629
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0613

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1375 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1375

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 5.2701) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.0099), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7397 (-12.31%).

2018 Avg (January) 5.2701
2017 Avg (January) 6.0099

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.3395 5.1838 5.2701
February 5.2385 5.0808 5.1326
March 5.1454 5.0498 5.0982
April 5.1202 5.0589 5.0924
May 5.1936 5.0365 5.0965
June 5.1993 5.1059 5.1586
July 5.1449 5.0628 5.1011
August 5.1168 5.0027 5.0551
September 5.1264 5.0193 5.0786
October 5.1521 5.0696 5.1048
November 5.0996 5.0312 5.0718
December 5.1794 5.0164 5.1045