2016 PGK to BAM Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6037 BAM

YEARLY LOW

0.5362 BAM

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5649 BAM

2016 PGK to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PGK to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 0.6037. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 0.5362.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0674 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5969 to the December average rate of 0.5851, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.99% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6037 was down 14.16% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.7032, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,018 BAM

2015 Average 3,191 BAM

Yearly Trough Low 2,681 BAM

Transaction Impact: A difference of 337.04 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6018

0.5434

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5669, compared to 0.5628 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0041 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5669

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5628

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0353 BAM (High: 0.5923 / Low: 0.5570). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0096 BAM (High: 0.5544 / Low: 0.5448).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0353

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0096

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0209 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0209

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.5969) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6470), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0500 (-7.73%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.5969

2015 Avg (January) 0.6470

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6037	0.5924	0.5969
February	0.5930	0.5681	0.5794
March	0.5923	0.5570	0.5734
April	0.5590	0.5429	0.5525
May	0.5627	0.5362	0.5483
June	0.5670	0.5424	0.5509
July	0.5660	0.5512	0.5587
August	0.5576	0.5450	0.5515
September	0.5544	0.5448	0.5507
October	0.5684	0.5484	0.5595
November	0.5835	0.5548	0.5717
December	0.5932	0.5712	0.5851