YEARLY HIGH
0.6294 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.5041 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5163 BAM

2019 PGK to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the PGK to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 0.6294. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 0.5041.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1253 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5090 to the December average rate of 0.5165, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.48% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.6294 was up 20.69% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.5215, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,147 BAM
2018 Average 2,519 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 2,520 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 626.65 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.5241
0.5076
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5134, compared to 0.5193 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0058 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5134
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5193

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was November, with a trading range of 0.1172 BAM (High: 0.6294 / Low: 0.5122). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0061 BAM (High: 0.5219 / Low: 0.5159).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1172
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0061

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0062 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0062

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2019: 0.5227) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.5111), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0116 (+2.28%).

2019 Avg (November) 0.5227
2018 Avg (November) 0.5111

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5123 0.5041 0.5090
February 0.5162 0.5067 0.5119
March 0.5167 0.5085 0.5126
April 0.5228 0.5113 0.5159
May 0.5219 0.5159 0.5184
June 0.5199 0.5073 0.5128
July 0.5205 0.5101 0.5148
August 0.5231 0.5125 0.5176
September 0.5294 0.5152 0.5225
October 0.5272 0.5124 0.5214
November 0.6294 0.5122 0.5227
December 0.5219 0.5101 0.5165