YEARLY HIGH
0.5215 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.4848 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5036 BAM

2018 PGK to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PGK to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 15, valuing the pair at 0.5215. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 4, dropping to 0.4848.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0367 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4980 to the December average rate of 0.5104, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.50% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.5215 was down 11.97% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5924, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,608 BAM
2017 Average 2,719 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 2,424 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 183.28 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.5141
0.4881
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4985, compared to 0.5088 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0103 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4985
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5088

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0231 BAM (High: 0.5191 / Low: 0.4960). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0105 BAM (High: 0.4965 / Low: 0.4860).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0231
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0105

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0082 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0082

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 0.5117) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.5206), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0089 (-1.70%).

2018 Avg (August) 0.5117
2017 Avg (August) 0.5206

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5075 0.4873 0.4980
February 0.5014 0.4848 0.4922
March 0.4979 0.4863 0.4920
April 0.4965 0.4860 0.4903
May 0.5191 0.4960 0.5063
June 0.5190 0.5037 0.5119
July 0.5129 0.4958 0.5079
August 0.5215 0.5037 0.5117
September 0.5088 0.4930 0.5035
October 0.5165 0.4960 0.5081
November 0.5172 0.4967 0.5111
December 0.5173 0.5037 0.5104