2013 PGK to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

782.0154 BIF

YEARLY LOW

578.7070 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

680.0282 BIF

2013 PGK to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the PGK to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 25, valuing the pair at 782.0154. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 4, dropping to 578.7070.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 203.3083 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 728.2215 to the December average rate of 616.6734, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 782.0154 was up 3.79% compared to the 2012 peak of 753.4679, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,910,077 BIF

2012 Average 3,387,960 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 2,893,535 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,016,541.70 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

777.8472

576.1088

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 731.1552, compared to 628.9012 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 102.2541 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 731.1552

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 628.9012

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was September, with a trading range of 56.6557 BIF (High: 648.1902 / Low: 591.5345). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 15.5850 BIF (High: 625.0065 / Low: 609.4215).

September Spread (Volatile) ±56.6557

December Spread (Stable) ±15.5850

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 39.1275 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -39.1275

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 761.0356) against the same month in 2012 (average: 620.8796), the exchange rate shifted by +140.1560 (+22.57%).

2013 Avg (February) 761.0356

2012 Avg (February) 620.8796

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	751.3558	715.3351	728.2215
February	782.0154	744.4430	761.0356
March	759.3187	723.2592	744.4739
April	752.1520	715.8715	731.9678
May	736.6647	681.9071	723.9781
June	710.3779	681.1072	697.2545
July	700.4771	668.2424	683.4608
August	674.7846	646.7403	661.1880
September	648.1902	591.5345	622.0605
October	613.2264	578.7070	592.9203
November	605.0920	588.6086	597.1039
December	625.0065	609.4215	616.6734