2014 PGK to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

638.6676 BIF

YEARLY LOW

537.1096 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

605.0865 BIF

2014 PGK to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the PGK to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 30, valuing the pair at 638.6676. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 27, dropping to 537.1096.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 101.5580 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 619.6377 to the December average rate of 606.4956, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 638.6676 was down 18.33% compared to the 2013 peak of 782.0154, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,193,338 BIF

2013 Average 3,397,794 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 2,685,548 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 507,790.02 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

642.6969

541.1026

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 588.7810, compared to 621.3921 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 32.6111 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 588.7810

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 621.3921

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was June, with a trading range of 97.9880 BIF (High: 638.6676 / Low: 540.6796). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.1428 BIF (High: 622.5035 / Low: 614.3608).

June Spread (Volatile) ±97.9880

January Spread (Stable) ±8.1428

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 30.2426 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -30.2426

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2014: 598.8122) against the same month in 2013 (average: 697.2545), the exchange rate shifted by -98.4423 (-14.12%).

2014 Avg (June) 598.8122

2013 Avg (June) 697.2545

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	622.5035	614.3608	619.6377
February	617.0214	595.9612	607.8866
March	618.2610	574.4510	593.5116
April	585.4466	552.7485	563.2690
May	559.5801	537.1096	549.5688
June	638.6676	540.6796	598.8122
July	637.9049	628.9188	634.2307
August	634.5631	621.4981	628.9288
September	628.8999	619.0520	624.2772
October	631.3984	615.0469	621.4852
November	620.3702	605.5675	612.9348
December	615.3568	597.4268	606.4956