2016 PGK to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

538.3187 BIF

YEARLY LOW

489.7064 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

516.2782 BIF

2016 PGK to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PGK to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 26, valuing the pair at 538.3187. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 7, dropping to 489.7064.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 48.6123 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 517.9210 to the December average rate of 527.8960, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.93% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 538.3187 was down 11.62% compared to the 2015 peak of 609.1250, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,691,593 BIF

2015 Average 2,836,580 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 2,448,532 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 243,061.35 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

531.2998

490.4545

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 506.7690, compared to 525.7874 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 19.0185 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 506.7690

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 525.7874

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 48.6123 BIF (High: 538.3187 / Low: 489.7064). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.3355 BIF (High: 529.6692 / Low: 523.3337).

June Spread (Volatile) ±48.6123

November Spread (Stable) ±6.3355

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 11.8446 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -11.8446

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 508.4116) against the same month in 2015 (average: 573.7430), the exchange rate shifted by -65.3315 (-11.39%).

2016 Avg (June) 508.4116

2015 Avg (June) 573.7430

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	522.5623	513.4672	517.9210
February	516.5417	508.1844	513.1491
March	517.4664	504.6358	509.5592
April	505.2910	491.7738	497.7146
May	499.8227	490.1973	493.8583
June	538.3187	489.7064	508.4116
July	527.3253	520.6654	523.9265
August	528.8398	521.5411	524.8327
September	529.9796	520.9529	525.0007
October	527.6193	521.0330	525.9493
November	529.6692	523.3337	527.1196
December	532.2599	522.6985	527.8960