YEARLY HIGH
47.6788 DJF
YEARLY LOW
42.0432 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
45.0941 DJF

2016 PLN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PLN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 4, valuing the pair at 47.6788. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 42.0432.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.6356 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 43.8618 to the December average rate of 42.4149, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 47.6788 was down 4.94% compared to the 2015 peak of 50.1585, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 20,000 PLN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 953,576 DJF
2015 Average 942,898 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 840,864 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 112,711.45 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

47.1727
41.9824
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PLN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 45.4353, compared to 44.7528 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6825 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 45.4353
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 44.7528

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 3.4229 DJF (High: 45.8023 / Low: 42.3794). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0663 DJF (High: 43.1095 / Low: 42.0432).

November Spread (Volatile) ±3.4229
December Spread (Stable) ±1.0663

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.7795 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.7795

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 46.7402) against the same month in 2015 (average: 47.6460), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9058 (-1.90%).

2016 Avg (April) 46.7402
2015 Avg (April) 47.6460

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 45.2189 42.9794 43.8618
February 45.4731 43.8623 44.8865
March 47.6107 44.5808 46.1417
April 47.6788 45.4835 46.7402
May 46.6687 44.7974 45.5286
June 46.8077 43.9940 45.4529
July 45.4365 44.2431 44.6543
August 46.8442 45.3204 46.1990
September 46.5230 45.3511 46.0128
October 46.4780 44.5829 45.5077
November 45.8023 42.3794 43.7282
December 43.1095 42.0432 42.4149