YEARLY HIGH
53.7435 DJF
YEARLY LOW
46.3826 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
49.3371 DJF

2018 PLN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PLN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 53.7435. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 31, dropping to 46.3826.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.3609 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 52.4047 to the December average rate of 47.2101, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 53.7435 was up 4.81% compared to the 2017 peak of 51.2749, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 20,000 PLN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,074,870 DJF
2017 Average 949,948 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 927,651 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 147,218.53 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

53.1637
46.5054
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PLN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 50.9930, compared to 47.6812 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.3118 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 50.9930
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 47.6812

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 2.7510 DJF (High: 53.6873 / Low: 50.9364). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7338 DJF (High: 47.5965 / Low: 46.8627).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.7510
December Spread (Stable) ±0.7338

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 2.7837 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7837

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 52.6088) against the same month in 2017 (average: 44.1860), the exchange rate shifted by +8.4228 (+19.06%).

2018 Avg (February) 52.6088
2017 Avg (February) 44.1860

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 53.6873 50.9364 52.4047
February 53.7435 51.6736 52.6088
March 52.4911 51.2856 51.8777
April 52.7618 50.4281 51.7900
May 49.9517 47.3804 49.0063
June 49.1525 47.1900 48.2705
July 48.8136 47.1199 48.1268
August 48.7517 46.7258 47.9483
September 48.9515 47.6782 48.2430
October 48.0924 46.3826 47.4986
November 47.4593 46.4222 47.0602
December 47.5965 46.8627 47.2101