2012 RSD to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1783 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.1360 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1567 SCR

2012 RSD to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the RSD to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 0.1783. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 16, dropping to 0.1360.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0423 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1707 to the December average rate of 0.1515, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.1783 was down 5.04% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.1878, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 891 SCR

2011 Average 853 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 680 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 211.58 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.1746

0.1363

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1654, compared to 0.1479 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0175 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1654

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1479

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.0156 SCR (High: 0.1593 / Low: 0.1437). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0053 SCR (High: 0.1525 / Low: 0.1471).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0156

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0053

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0140 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0140

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 0.1714) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.1630), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0084 (+5.15%).

2012 Avg (February) 0.1714

2011 Avg (February) 0.1630

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1763	0.1631	0.1707
February	0.1783	0.1681	0.1714
March	0.1713	0.1634	0.1682
April	0.1713	0.1628	0.1658
May	0.1674	0.1537	0.1597
June	0.1618	0.1517	0.1568
July	0.1593	0.1437	0.1535
August	0.1459	0.1360	0.1395
September	0.1479	0.1379	0.1441
October	0.1541	0.1456	0.1495
November	0.1525	0.1471	0.1493
December	0.1538	0.1482	0.1515