2016 RSD to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1316 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.1113 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1194 SCR

2016 RSD to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 14, valuing the pair at 0.1316. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 0.1113.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0203 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1159 to the December average rate of 0.1144, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1316 was down 3.79% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1368, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 658 SCR

2015 Average 612 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 557 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 101.46 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1251

0.1134

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1205, compared to 0.1182 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0023 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1205

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1182

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0157 SCR (High: 0.1316 / Low: 0.1159). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0030 SCR (High: 0.1219 / Low: 0.1190).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0157

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0030

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0033 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0033

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 0.1211) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1312), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0100 (-7.66%).

2016 Avg (February) 0.1211

2015 Avg (February) 0.1312

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1206	0.1137	0.1159
February	0.1316	0.1159	0.1211
March	0.1256	0.1169	0.1202
April	0.1300	0.1168	0.1241
May	0.1282	0.1175	0.1225
June	0.1230	0.1130	0.1193
July	0.1210	0.1144	0.1182
August	0.1230	0.1178	0.1204
September	0.1219	0.1190	0.1206
October	0.1217	0.1162	0.1188
November	0.1211	0.1133	0.1170
December	0.1168	0.1113	0.1144