YEARLY HIGH
0.1331 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.1182 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1300 SCR

2019 RSD to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RSD to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.1331. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 11, dropping to 0.1182.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0150 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1317 to the December average rate of 0.1295, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.1331 was down 10.26% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.1484, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 666 SCR
2018 Average 680 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 591 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 74.82 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.1320
0.1280
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1309, compared to 0.1290 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0018 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1309
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1290

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0134 SCR (High: 0.1316 / Low: 0.1182). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0015 SCR (High: 0.1303 / Low: 0.1288).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0134
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0015

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0019 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0019

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.1317) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.1431), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0114 (-7.98%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.1317
2018 Avg (January) 0.1431

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1331 0.1304 0.1317
February 0.1331 0.1303 0.1313
March 0.1330 0.1297 0.1311
April 0.1316 0.1293 0.1305
May 0.1303 0.1288 0.1297
June 0.1321 0.1297 0.1310
July 0.1324 0.1287 0.1302
August 0.1316 0.1182 0.1284
September 0.1292 0.1274 0.1283
October 0.1305 0.1274 0.1290
November 0.1319 0.1228 0.1288
December 0.1307 0.1282 0.1295