YEARLY HIGH
0.1484 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.1301 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1361 SCR

2018 RSD to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 7, valuing the pair at 0.1484. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 27, dropping to 0.1301.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0182 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1431 to the December average rate of 0.1315, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1484 was up 3.99% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1427, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 742 SCR
2017 Average 634 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 651 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 91.17 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1443
0.1300
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1393, compared to 0.1328 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0066 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1393
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1328

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0103 SCR (High: 0.1418 / Low: 0.1314). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0012 SCR (High: 0.1348 / Low: 0.1336).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0103
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0049 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0049

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 0.1424) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1162), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0261 (+22.46%).

2018 Avg (March) 0.1424
2017 Avg (March) 0.1162

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1473 0.1391 0.1431
February 0.1476 0.1383 0.1421
March 0.1484 0.1397 0.1424
April 0.1442 0.1375 0.1399
May 0.1418 0.1314 0.1350
June 0.1355 0.1327 0.1336
July 0.1348 0.1336 0.1342
August 0.1347 0.1307 0.1328
September 0.1411 0.1328 0.1345
October 0.1348 0.1305 0.1324
November 0.1323 0.1301 0.1312
December 0.1340 0.1302 0.1315