YEARLY HIGH
0.1685 MAD
YEARLY LOW
0.1204 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1470 MAD

2016 RUB to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RUB to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.1685. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 0.1204.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0481 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1295 to the December average rate of 0.1631, the exchange rate registered a net change of 25.91% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1685 was down 15.65% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1998, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 842 MAD
2015 Average 804 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 602 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 240.28 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1667
0.1230
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1395, compared to 0.1546 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0151 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1395
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1546

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0155 MAD (High: 0.1359 / Low: 0.1204). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0050 MAD (High: 0.1594 / Low: 0.1544).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0155
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0050

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0029 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0029

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.1631) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1413), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0217 (+15.39%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.1631
2015 Avg (December) 0.1413

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1359 0.1204 0.1295
February 0.1312 0.1214 0.1267
March 0.1438 0.1342 0.1397
April 0.1491 0.1406 0.1451
May 0.1487 0.1436 0.1467
June 0.1533 0.1456 0.1493
July 0.1559 0.1475 0.1524
August 0.1518 0.1460 0.1500
September 0.1544 0.1480 0.1507
October 0.1594 0.1544 0.1568
November 0.1577 0.1509 0.1544
December 0.1685 0.1564 0.1631