2018 RUB to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7486 RSD

YEARLY LOW

1.4469 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5998 RSD

2018 RUB to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RUB to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 1.7486. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 10, dropping to 1.4469.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3017 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7159 to the December average rate of 1.5383, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.7486 was down 15.81% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.0770, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,743 RSD

2017 Average 9,236 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 7,234 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,508.71 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.7372

1.4811

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6467, compared to 1.5530 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0937 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6467

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5530

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.1637 RSD (High: 1.6829 / Low: 1.5193). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0347 RSD (High: 1.6941 / Low: 1.6594).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1637

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0347

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0916 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0916

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.7159) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.9444), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2285 (-11.75%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.7159

2017 Avg (January) 1.9444

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7486	1.6979	1.7159
February	1.7222	1.6593	1.6853
March	1.6941	1.6594	1.6777
April	1.6829	1.5193	1.5862
May	1.6448	1.5427	1.6040
June	1.6317	1.5956	1.6112
July	1.6293	1.5849	1.6062
August	1.6113	1.4849	1.5416
September	1.5533	1.4469	1.5025
October	1.5903	1.5321	1.5652
November	1.5847	1.5368	1.5641
December	1.5742	1.4851	1.5383