YEARLY HIGH
1.7345 RSD
YEARLY LOW
1.2534 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4361 RSD

2020 RUB to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the RUB to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 1.7345. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 2, dropping to 1.2534.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4811 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7113 to the December average rate of 1.3059, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1.7345 was up 1.25% compared to the 2019 peak of 1.7131, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,672 RSD
2019 Average 8,138 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 6,267 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,405.45 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1.7536
1.2460
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5422, compared to 1.3301 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2121 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5422
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3301

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.2627 RSD (High: 1.5947 / Low: 1.3320). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0363 RSD (High: 1.3021 / Low: 1.2658).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2627
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0363

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2477 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2477

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 1.7113) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1.5539), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1574 (+10.13%).

2020 Avg (January) 1.7113
2019 Avg (January) 1.5539

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.7345 1.6609 1.7113
February 1.7137 1.6046 1.6784
March 1.5947 1.3320 1.4308
April 1.4793 1.3629 1.4441
May 1.5124 1.4235 1.4812
June 1.5303 1.4705 1.5074
July 1.4847 1.3413 1.4360
August 1.3707 1.3152 1.3464
September 1.3400 1.2676 1.3120
October 1.3021 1.2658 1.2883
November 1.3097 1.2534 1.2918
December 1.3292 1.2712 1.3059