2019 RUB to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7131 RSD

YEARLY LOW

1.4842 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6274 RSD

2019 RUB to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RUB to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 25, valuing the pair at 1.7131. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 1.4842.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2289 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5539 to the December average rate of 1.6831, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.7131 was down 2.03% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.7486, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,566 RSD

2018 Average 7,998 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 7,421 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,144.69 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.6960

1.5410

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6028, compared to 1.6520 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0492 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6028

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6520

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.1080 RSD (High: 1.5922 / Low: 1.4842). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0179 RSD (High: 1.6726 / Low: 1.6547).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1080

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0179

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0532 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0532

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 1.6831) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.5383), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1448 (+9.41%).

2019 Avg (December) 1.6831

2018 Avg (December) 1.5383

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5922	1.4842	1.5539
February	1.5963	1.5676	1.5832
March	1.6281	1.5746	1.6009
April	1.6498	1.6059	1.6265
May	1.6428	1.6070	1.6242
June	1.6588	1.6047	1.6280
July	1.6743	1.6437	1.6600
August	1.6521	1.5859	1.6068
September	1.6766	1.6035	1.6445
October	1.6617	1.6422	1.6527
November	1.6726	1.6547	1.6651
December	1.7131	1.6526	1.6831