YEARLY HIGH
2.1422 RSD
YEARLY LOW
0.7590 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6640 RSD

2022 RUB to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the RUB to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 29, valuing the pair at 2.1422. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 7, dropping to 0.7590.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3832 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3568 to the December average rate of 1.6748, the exchange rate registered a net change of 23.44% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 2.1422 was up 47.16% compared to the 2021 peak of 1.4557, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,711 RSD
2021 Average 6,750 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 3,795 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,916.03 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

2.0687
0.8872
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4452, compared to 1.8828 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4376 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4452
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.8828

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was March, with a trading range of 0.5415 RSD (High: 1.3005 / Low: 0.7590). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0721 RSD (High: 1.3917 / Low: 1.3196).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.5415
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0721

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.3361 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3361

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2022: 1.9363) against the same month in 2021 (average: 1.3445), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5918 (+44.01%).

2022 Avg (June) 1.9363
2021 Avg (June) 1.3445

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3917 1.3196 1.3568
February 1.3772 0.9990 1.3218
March 1.3005 0.7590 0.9857
April 1.5628 1.2434 1.3630
May 1.9165 1.5202 1.7079
June 2.1422 1.7199 1.9363
July 2.0962 1.7734 1.9373
August 1.9677 1.8152 1.9078
September 2.1148 1.8205 1.9703
October 2.0562 1.8711 1.9283
November 1.9299 1.8435 1.8784
December 1.8385 1.4840 1.6748