YEARLY HIGH
1.6396 RSD
YEARLY LOW
1.0708 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.2842 RSD

2023 RUB to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the RUB to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 15, valuing the pair at 1.6396. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 1.0708.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5688 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5559 to the December average rate of 1.1789, the exchange rate registered a net change of -24.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1.6396 was down 23.46% compared to the 2022 peak of 2.1422, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,198 RSD
2022 Average 8,327 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 5,354 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,843.84 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1.5992
1.0788
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4105, compared to 1.1580 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2525 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4105
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1580

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was January, with a trading range of 0.1539 RSD (High: 1.6396 / Low: 1.4857). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0406 RSD (High: 1.2172 / Low: 1.1766).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1539
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0406

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1270 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1270

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 1.5559) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1.3568), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1991 (+14.67%).

2023 Avg (January) 1.5559
2022 Avg (January) 1.3568

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6396 1.4857 1.5559
February 1.5389 1.4581 1.4919
March 1.4714 1.3922 1.4342
April 1.3958 1.2977 1.3202
May 1.4027 1.3198 1.3637
June 1.3551 1.2090 1.2972
July 1.2209 1.1430 1.1702
August 1.1531 1.0708 1.1222
September 1.1554 1.1127 1.1357
October 1.1877 1.0953 1.1443
November 1.2172 1.1766 1.1965
December 1.2026 1.1456 1.1789