2011 RUB to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1572 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.1309 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1464 VEF

2011 RUB to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the RUB to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 4, valuing the pair at 0.1572. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 4, dropping to 0.1309.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0263 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1424 to the December average rate of 0.1363, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.1572 was up 5.79% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.1486, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 786 VEF

2010 Average 698 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 655 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 131.56 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.1558

0.1346

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1502, compared to 0.1427 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0074 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1502

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1427

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.0159 VEF (High: 0.1484 / Low: 0.1325). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0036 VEF (High: 0.1525 / Low: 0.1490).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0159

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0036

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0088 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0088

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2011: 0.1539) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.1415), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0124 (+8.74%).

2011 Avg (May) 0.1539

2010 Avg (May) 0.1415

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1446	0.1392	0.1424
February	0.1494	0.1444	0.1469
March	0.1525	0.1490	0.1512
April	0.1566	0.1513	0.1531
May	0.1572	0.1502	0.1539
June	0.1554	0.1514	0.1536
July	0.1558	0.1518	0.1540
August	0.1552	0.1441	0.1490
September	0.1484	0.1325	0.1402
October	0.1442	0.1309	0.1375
November	0.1417	0.1358	0.1393
December	0.1398	0.1332	0.1363