YEARLY HIGH
0.1284 VEF
YEARLY LOW
0.0862 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1042 VEF

2015 RUB to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the RUB to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 18, valuing the pair at 0.1284. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 0.0862.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0422 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0988 to the December average rate of 0.0903, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.1284 was down 32.88% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.1913, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 642 VEF
2014 Average 834 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 431 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 211.14 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.1280
0.0868
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1103, compared to 0.0982 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0121 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1103
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0982

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was April, with a trading range of 0.0169 VEF (High: 0.1265 / Low: 0.1096). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0048 VEF (High: 0.0966 / Low: 0.0917).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0169
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0048

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0136 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0136

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2015: 0.1246) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.1804), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0558 (-30.92%).

2015 Avg (May) 0.1246
2014 Avg (May) 0.1804

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1075 0.0908 0.0988
February 0.1031 0.0903 0.0983
March 0.1103 0.1012 0.1050
April 0.1265 0.1096 0.1195
May 0.1284 0.1204 0.1246
June 0.1195 0.1121 0.1155
July 0.1139 0.1033 0.1103
August 0.1028 0.0896 0.0967
September 0.0966 0.0917 0.0945
October 0.1028 0.0955 0.1002
November 0.1005 0.0945 0.0971
December 0.0949 0.0862 0.0903