YEARLY HIGH
4017.7995 VEF
YEARLY LOW
3596.0793 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3842.2282 VEF

2019 RUB to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RUB to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 25, valuing the pair at 4017.7995. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 3596.0793.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 421.7202 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3725.0995 to the December average rate of 3953.9836, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.14% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4017.7995 was up 5.06% compared to the 2018 peak of 3824.3244, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,088,998 VEF
2018 Average 9,718,620 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 17,980,397 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,108,601.08 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3976.8720
3702.2111
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3810.9996, compared to 3873.4568 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 62.4573 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3810.9996
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3873.4568

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 200.5581 VEF (High: 3796.6374 / Low: 3596.0793). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 56.8285 VEF (High: 3917.0836 / Low: 3860.2551).

January Spread (Volatile) ±200.5581
November Spread (Stable) ±56.8285

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 155.7929 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -155.7929

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 3953.9836) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3676.7001), the exchange rate shifted by +277.2835 (+7.54%).

2019 Avg (December) 3953.9836
2018 Avg (December) 3676.7001

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3796.6374 3596.0793 3725.0995
February 3801.0280 3727.8048 3777.6536
March 3893.7714 3741.5625 3809.3390
April 3900.6171 3798.0360 3848.7402
May 3861.5258 3795.1182 3828.6602
June 3971.6717 3788.0369 3876.5049
July 3964.2900 3891.8443 3928.5042
August 3862.6063 3710.4211 3772.7113
September 3894.9860 3720.7995 3828.3981
October 3901.8237 3807.3820 3865.1066
November 3917.0836 3860.2551 3892.0371
December 4017.7995 3863.6550 3953.9836